Future studies and counterfactual analysis : seeds of the future
Mentés helye:
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| Különgyűjtemény: | e-book |
| Formátum: | könyv |
| Nyelv: | angol |
| Megjelenés: |
Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan,
2019
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| Kiadás: | 1st ed. 2019 |
| Tárgyszavak: | |
| Online elérés: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7 |
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opac-EUL01-001016620 |
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| collection |
e-book |
| institution |
L_118 EUL01 |
| spelling |
Gordon, Theodore J. szerző EUL10001077084 Y Future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future by Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova 1st ed. 2019 Cham Springer International Publishing Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan 2019 XII, 194 p. online forrás szöveg txt rdacontent számítógépes c rdamedia távoli hozzáférés cr rdacarrier szövegfájl PDF rda Chapter 1: Introduction -- Chapter 2: True or False: The Problem Here is Identifying What is True and What is Not -- Chapter 3: Proliferation: Doomsday or Politics? The Problem Here is Controlling Spread of Weapons of Mass Destruction -- Chapter 4: The Bounds of Humanity: Will Malthus Ultimately Be Proven Correct? The Problem Here is that We Don't Know How to Limit Population Growth or if New Policies are Really Necessary. Can We Leave it to Chance? -- Chapter 5: The Beginning and Hereafter: Why do We Exist? -- Chapter 6: Immortality: Where Does the Need to be Remember -- Chapter 7: Religion: The Problem Here is that in Religion, as well as Other Institutions, We See Corruption, Immorality, Ethical Lapses, and Abuses. In its Entwinement with Government: Who Makes and Enforces Laws, Sets Education Standards, and Provides Security: the People, the King, or God? -- Chapter 8: Decision Making: The Talent for Decisions. The Problem Here is that Most Decisions Turn out Badly -- Chapter 9: Dealing with Bio-terrorism: The Problem Here is that Terrorism can Adopt Biological Weapons as an Attack Mode: Harder to Detect, More Dangerous in its Outcome -- Chapter 10: Our Computer Overlords: The Problems Here are the Contest Between Work and Leisure, How Much of Each, Who has Either and the Chances for AI Becoming our Masters -- Chapter 11: What Constitutes Progress? The Problem Here is Defining What Constitutes Progress and MEans for Attaining it Since Science, Technology, Politics, and Markets do not Necessarily Follow Paths tha tLead to Solutions of Pressing Problems or Attainment of Goals -- Chapter 12: Political Chaos: The Problem Here is What Politics Has Become. Civility is Almost Gone, Debate is Almost Non-existent, yet the Sides are Firm in Their Positions and Sure They are Right -- Chapter 13: The Perfect Human: Unlocking the Mysteries of Human Genetics and Developing the Technologies to Manipulate Heredity Will Give, for Better or Worse, a New Dimension to O In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists. Nyomtatott kiadás: ISBN 9783030184360 Nyomtatott kiadás: ISBN 9783030184384 Nyomtatott kiadás: ISBN 9783030184391 Az e-könyvek a teljes ELTE IP-tartományon belül online elérhetők. e-book könyv Technology Sociological aspects EUL10001042548 Y Artificial intelligence EUL10000183324 Y Management EUL10000359793 Y Industrial management EUL10000367262 Y jövőkutatás 21. sz. EUL10001008717 Y elektronikus könyv Todorova, Mariana szerző EUL10001077085 Y SpringerLink (Online service) közreadó testület Online változat https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7 EUL01 |
| language |
English |
| format |
Book |
| author |
Gordon, Theodore J., szerző |
| spellingShingle |
Gordon, Theodore J., szerző Future studies and counterfactual analysis : seeds of the future Technology -- Sociological aspects Artificial intelligence Management Industrial management jövőkutatás -- 21. sz. elektronikus könyv |
| author_facet |
Gordon, Theodore J., szerző Todorova, Mariana, szerző SpringerLink (Online service), közreadó testület |
| author2 |
Todorova, Mariana, szerző |
| author_corporate |
SpringerLink (Online service), közreadó testület |
| author_sort |
Gordon, Theodore J. |
| title |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis : seeds of the future |
| title_sub |
seeds of the future |
| title_short |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis |
| title_full |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future by Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova |
| title_fullStr |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future by Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future by Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova |
| title_auth |
Future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future |
| title_sort |
future studies and counterfactual analysis seeds of the future |
| publishDate |
2019 |
| publishDateSort |
2019 |
| physical |
XII, 194 p. : online forrás |
| edition |
1st ed. 2019 |
| isbn |
978-3-030-18437-7 |
| callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
| callnumber-subject |
HM - Sociology |
| callnumber-label |
HM846-851 |
| callnumber-raw |
E-2775 |
| callnumber-search |
E-2775 |
| topic |
Technology -- Sociological aspects Artificial intelligence Management Industrial management jövőkutatás -- 21. sz. elektronikus könyv |
| topic_facet |
Technology -- Sociological aspects Artificial intelligence Management Industrial management jövőkutatás -- 21. sz. elektronikus könyv Technology Artificial intelligence Management Industrial management jövőkutatás Sociological aspects |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7 |
| illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
| dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-tens |
300 - Social sciences, sociology & anthropology |
| dewey-ones |
303 - Social processes |
| dewey-full |
303.483 |
| dewey-sort |
3303.483 |
| dewey-raw |
303.483 |
| dewey-search |
303.483 |
| first_indexed |
2023-12-27T12:56:08Z |
| last_indexed |
2023-12-29T19:57:39Z |
| recordtype |
opac |
| publisher |
Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan |
| _version_ |
1786643754061398016 |
| score |
13,375802 |
| generalnotes |
In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists. |